Injecting Some Reality Into The Conventional Wisdom

The Galesburg Register-Mail:

“The [redistricting] map is being viewed by commentators as an attempt to bring more Democratic voters into the district to squeeze out [Bobby] Schilling in 2012. But the proposed district is more geographically uniform than the old one, which was one of the more oddly shaped in the country and designed to heavily favor Democrats. But that didn’t stop Schilling beating former Congressman Phil Hare in the 2010 congressional election, securing a victory in a district that had long been under Democratic control.”

No siree, it didn’t . Hare’s gerrymandered district, name recognition, perks of incumbency, massive money advantage, and powerful union organization didn’t stop Schilling. Over last several days and months, I can’t tell you how many times I have seen some variation of the “Schilling is gone” theme, which reminds me of all the times I heard some variation of the “Schilling is gone” theme in ’09 and ’10.

All this partisan gerrymandering will do for the Democrats is make them over confident and believe they are bullet proof—-just as Hare believed last year—until it was too late.

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Author: qcexaminer

None of your damned business.

3 thoughts on “Injecting Some Reality Into The Conventional Wisdom”

  1. I think that the shape will definitely heavily swing the district towards a return to a Democrat candidate – assuming they do not choose another Phil Hare. A real key factor in Schillings victory was his opponent. Hare was the type of candidate whom even his mother would have trouble voting for in a fair election process.

  2. Phil Hare was awful alright, but most of the credit goes to Schilling—he just out hustled Hare, who had no idea what hit him.

    If it would have just been Hare’s awfulness, Zinga would be our congressperson.

    I don’t have any idea what will happen in the rest of the state, but I wouldn’t bet that the NEW! IMPROVED! 17th will be a slam-dunk for Dems.

  3. Scoundrel seems to be forgetting that Schilling turned Hare into what he is today: The Congressman who doesn’t (didn’t* :)) worry about the constitution.

    I imagine that Schilling will be able to do the same thing to each of his opponents. Let’s get out the popcorn.

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